Why Lock downs can halt the spread of COVID-19?
A sudden community
spread can be obviated by lock downs.
Without any lock down or
social distancing measures, we can expect peak mortality in approximately three
months.
Researchers are well on
their way to discovering vaccines and treatments for the virus, but even in a
best-case scenario, these are likely to be 12-18 months away.
Until then, extreme
social distancing is pretty much the only intervention available to help
individuals stay healthy, and to break the chain of transmission - giving more
vulnerable populations a fighting chance of surviving this pandemic.
Mitigation- “slowing but
not necessarily stopping epidemic spread – reducing peak healthcare demand
while protecting those most at risk of severe disease from infection.” This is
done by isolating suspected cases and their households, and social distancing
the elderly and people at highest risk of serious illness.
Suppression, or
basically, lock down- which “aims to reverse epidemic growth, reducing case
numbers to low levels” by social distancing the entire population
“indefinitely” and closing schools and universities.
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